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Super Bowl XLIX-Oscar Guide (Highroller Edition)

by Steve Seidel

Super Bowl XLIX (or as I call it, Super Bowl Ex-Licks) – a day that shall live in infamy. And by infamy, I mean daytime drinking, excessive consumption of carby snacks, and of course, gambling! The Super Bowl should be declared a national holiday, where we all get the following Monday off from work to recover. Who’s with me?! If Congress can add some ridiculous pork barrel “Bridge To Nowhere” to a bill, why can’t the freshly dubbed America Day become a national holiday?

But I digress. You’ve got your favorite brew (or kale-tini) and salty snacks (gluten free rice cakes) ready to go… now’s the time to take a look at various gambling odds for Sunday. Since this is a website that celebrates Hollywood, I thought it would be fun to compare various prop bets for the Super Bowl and Oscars and see what’s what.

Super Bowl: Odds to win MVP
Oscars: Odds to win Best Picture

16-1 odds that Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman will win the MVP Award Sunday. American Sniper is getting the same odds for Best Picture. Sniper has come out of nowhere to be a bona fide blockbuster, and despite some controversy about the true story it is based on, it has to be considered a legit dark horse to take home the Oscar. I’m not saying it’s gonna happen, but I like the film’s chances more than Edelman going off for 10+ receptions, 150+ yards and 2+ TDs, which is what it would take for him to win the MVP. Go ahead, make Clint’s day.

Super Bowl: Will Patriots’ Darrelle Revis catch 2+ Interceptions? (No -3000)
Oscars: Best Actress – Julianne Moore (-3300)

You will be hard pressed to find a bigger lock on Sunday than Julianne Moore taking home the gold dude. Go with J-Mo here. She still looks great, doesn’t she?

Super Bowl: Over/Under Tom Brady Interceptions (Over -160)
Oscars: Best Animated Feature – How To Train Your Dragon 2 (-160)

Put up $160 to win $100 that Brady will throw at least one INT, and HTTYD2 will win for best animated feature. I didn’t see any of these cartoon movies, but unless Dragon is the equivalent of Godfather 2, I smell an upset brewing.  Fredo isn’t walking through those doors, people. Bet on Brady.

Super Bowl: Which region will have the higher Nielsen rating (Seattle -150 vs Boston +120)?
Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay (Birdman -150)

This one should get your gambling juices flowing – a Super Bowl prop based on Nielsen ratings! We’ve come full circle. Movie people calling their TV homies for the inside scoop, love it! Birdman (this writer’s personal favorite movie of the year) should take home the best screenplay award, and every man, woman and dotcom billionaire up in the Emerald City should be glued to their TV sets. Close call. Then it hit me – what if a very small portion of the technology-minded Pacific Northwest decided to ditch their television for a streaming experience online, which may avert the Nielsens? How ’bout them apples, Boston? Go with Birdman.

Super Bowl: Who will the Super Bowl MVP mention first in his interview? (God 2/1)
Oscars: Best Actor (Eddie Redmayne 2/1)

I’m not a religious man, but when it comes to sports miracles, normally I’d go with God. However this time I’m going with Stephen Hawking.

I’m taking this one Off The Board…
Super Bowl: Will Katy Perry show cleavage at halftime? (Yes -550)

This is a lock, but some bets are better left unwagered. Imagine you lay $550 to win a measly C note, and KP shows up dressed in an official football uniform. Uh-oh. Then she does a quick costume change to some cleave-baring cheerleader’s outfit. In the middle of your Super Bowl party, you start jumping up and down, yelling “Boobies! Boobies! Boobies!“, much to the consternation of your fellow viewers. #awkward

Enjoy the game Sunday, and the Oscars in a few weeks.

Happy America Day!

Steve Seidel

About Steve Seidel

Steve Seidel is one of the founding partners and a Supervising Producer at VIMBY, a next generation content agency for brands and a division of One Three Media and Hearst Entertainment. A 20 year veteran of the entertainment industry, Seidel began his career as a music agent at CAA and UTA. He lives with his wife, two children and puppy in Sherman Oaks, CA. Please follow Steve on Twitter: @schnd

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